About the Bull & Bear Tracker

The Bull & Bear Tracker is a trend predictive algorithm which monitors the global markets 24 hours per day and 365 days a year to predict the direction of the S&P 500, the world’s most liquid and largest stock market index.  When the Bull & Bear Tracker reads that the S&P 500 is headed higher, the alert’s signal is green.  When the market is headed lower, its signal is red. The Bull & Bear Tracker is always in the market with either a green or red signal.  For the history of the Bull & Bear Tracker’s development  click here.  

The Bull & Bear Tracker’s signals are utilized to trade exchange traded funds (ETFs) which mimic the performance of the S&P 500 and other US and global stock indices.  A long ETF is utilized when the signal is green.  A short or inverse ETF is utilized when the signal is red.  When an index advances by 10% while under a green signal, the long ETF increases by 10%.  Conversely, should the index decline by 10% while a red signal is in effect, the inverse ETF would increase by 10%.   The Bull & Bear Tracker alerts support the three ETF trading strategies which are depicted in the table below.

The chart below depicts the performance of Bull & Bear Tracker’s alert conservative and aggressive strategies versus the S&P 500 from July 1, 2019 to June 30, 2020. 

The table below contains the success ratios for all of the Conservative and Aggressive trading strategy signal alerts for months of July 2019 through May 2020.

Bull & Bear Tracker (BBT) conservative and aggressive alerts success ratios
Month no. BBT signals BBT winners BBT losers Success ratio %
May 2020 8 6 2 75%
April 2020 5 2 3 40%
March 2020 21 14 7 66%
February 2020 5 4 1 80%
January 2020 6 5 1 83%
December 2019 9 6 3 66%
November 2019 5 3 2 60%
October 2019 5 3 2 60%
September 2019 4 3 1 75%
August 2019 10 8 2 80%
July 2019 6 3 3 50%
Totals, average* 84 57 27   67%*

The table below contains the monthly performance of the Conservative trading strategy signal alerts versus the S&P 500 for months of July 2019 through May 2020.

Bull & Bear Tracker (BBT) hedge (SPY/SH)

alerts vs. S&P 500, July 2019 – May 2020

Month S&P 500 % chg. Bull & Bear Tracker
% chg.
May-20 4.50% 8.60%
Apr-20 12.70% 14.10%
Mar-20 -12.50% 29.30%
Feb-20 -8.70% 9.80%
Jan-20 0.00% 5.30%
Dec-19 2.90% 0.80%
Nov-19 3.40% 5.90%
Oct-19 2.00% 1.50%
Sep-19 1.70% 4.80%
Aug-19 -1.80% 9.80%
Jul-19 1.10% 1.50%
Totals 5.30% 91.30%
For BBT track record from 04/09/18 to 6/30/19 click here.

From inception through March of 2020, Bull & Bear Tracker’s alerts had been available through subscription.  Due to heightened market volatility increasing trading risks for subscribers the alerts were made exclusively available to registered investment advisors.  The Bull & Bear Tracker’s spinoff, Bear Trader provides a portion of the Bull & Bear Tracker’s signal alerts via subscription.

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